摘要：次贷危机之后，美元作为世界第一流通货币所蕴藏的危机愈发显著，国际社会比以往任何时候都更加渴望可以构建分担美元职能的新国际储备货币体系，而有着稳定汇率走势、雄厚经济实力的人民币呼声最高。另一方面，虽然自2014年以来由于种种不利的外部环境因素，中国对外贸易的增长额一直处于个位数的区间甚至更低，得益于不断提升的人民币国际化水平，我国的对外贸易相对于世界上的其他国家，还是以较高的增长率在飞速发展。在这样的背景下，本文将首先从人民币国际化和其与对外贸易关系的文献综述进行展开，接着对人民币国际化的发展历程进行介绍，随后整合了2000年到2016年的相关年度数据，进行人民币国际化程度估算，得到人民币国际化程度虽然较低，但呈向上发展的势头的结论。接下来根据该测算结果和国内生产总值等变量，构建时间序列模型，获得了人民币国际化是有利于我国对外贸易发展的实证结论。最后，针对全文的内容和实证分析的结果，提出加深人民币国际化的程度的建议，并基于此对我国对外贸易给出建设性意见。

关键词：人民币国际化；对外贸易；时间序列模型

CNY Internationalization’s Impact on China’s International Trade

Abstract：After the subprime crisis, the US dollar, as the world's leading currency, has contain increasingly significant crisis in recent years. Because of this, the international community has been more eager than ever to build a new international reserve currencies to share the function of US dollar. And CNY, which has stable exchange rates and strong economic strength, becomes the first choice and calls for the highest. Since 2014, on the other hand, although due to the adverse external environment factors, China's foreign trade are in a single-digit or even lower interval growth for four years, but with the unceasing enhancementof CNY internationalization degree, As main factor driving our economic growth, China's foreign trade, compared to other countries, has been growing at a rapid rate. Based on this background, This article starts with introducing the literature reviews of CNY internationalization and the how this affects foreign trades, then introduces the development status of the process of CNY internationalization. After that, this article uses the related annual data from 2000 to 2016 to do the formula in estimating CNY internationalization degree, getting the result about though CNY internationalization degree is lower, but still has an upward trend. According to the measured results, combined with gross domestic product (GDP) and the exchange rate, time series model is founded to analyze how CNY internationalization China’s foreign trade, which obtains the internationalization of the CNY has a positive effect on our country’s foreign trade. Finally, integrating the status of the internationalization of the CNY as well as the influence of CNY internationalization on our country foreign trade, give advice to future development of CNY internationalization and international trade. .

Key words: CNY internationalization；International trade；Time series model

目 录

摘要 1

关键词 1

Abstract. 1

Key words 1

一、绪论 2

（一）研究背景及其意义 2

（二）研究的目标、内容和拟解决的关键问题 2

二、国内外研究综述 3

（一）人民币国际化文献综述 3

1.货币国际化的含义 3

2.人民币国际化现状 3

3.人民币国际化条件 3

（二）人民币国际化对我国对外贸易影响综述 4

三、人民币国际化的发展历程 5

（一）人民币国际化发展现状 5

1.货币互换协议 5

2.跨境人民币的结算 5

3.人民币加入特别提款权 7

（二）人民币国际化对我国外贸的影响 7

1.有利于扩大我国外贸规模 7